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‘Modi effect’ gives advantage to BJP in exit polls

Exit polls from Assembly elections in five states indicate the ‘Modi effect’ is still in play.

That’s because the BJP is projected to make impressive gains in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Manipur and hold steady in Goa. But for Punjab, where its alliance with the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) seemed doomed from the start, the party’s leadership can afford to pat itself on the back, for now.

Overall, this was a curious set of state elections, because aside from the BJP, the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party also did pretty well. So the real losers the exit polls point to are the SAD and the Samajwadi Party (SP).

The Congress appears to have engineered a resurgence in Punjab after almost a decade, stayed the course in Goa and performed decently in Uttarakhand, despite a bunch of defections. After a fashion, it could even be said its electoral alliance with the SP in Uttar Pradesh benefitted it, to the SP’s detriment. And in Manipur, the BJP made impressive gains, but the exit polls show the Congress managed to fight back some as the battle is still neck and neck.

As for AAP, in Punjab, it has gone from non-existent in 2012 to between 60-70 seats according to exit polls.

As per exit polls, the Congress or AAP will take Punjab, the BJP is leading – by a lot – in Uttar Pradesh, and the BJP or the Congress will take Goa, Uttarakhand and Manipur.


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